UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Army
  
Army                  
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 91.0511

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 0- 9 206 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 2- 8 207 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 3- 2 207 A Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 0-11 208 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 13- 0 213 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 2 213 A Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 6- 7 214 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 2- 8 214 A Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 3- 5 220 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 0- 5 220 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 10- 5 221 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 10- 0 222 H Iowa State B12 (33-21, 94.1) 2- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Wisconsin               0- 9      -9    -4    --    -5.48
   206 A Indiana                 2- 8      -6    -6          -0.07
   207 H Delaware                3- 2       1     0           0.65
   207 A Ohio State              0-11     -11    -4    ---   -7.46
   208 A Delaware               13- 0      13    -1    +++   14.14
   213 A Western Kentucky        1- 2      -1    -3    +      2.28
   213 A Iowa                    6- 7      -1    -3           1.65
   214 H Iowa                    2- 8      -6    -1    --    -4.83
   214 A Mercer                  3- 5      -2     4    ---   -6.26
   220 H Pittsburgh              0- 5      -5     1    ---   -6.08
   220 H Tulsa                  10- 5       5     0    ++     5.05
   221 A Tarleton State         10- 0      10    -1    +++   11.16
   222 H Iowa State              2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Ohio State              0-11     -11    -4    ---   -7.46
   214 A Mercer                  3- 5      -2     4    ---   -6.26
   220 H Pittsburgh              0- 5      -5     1    ---   -6.08
   206 A Wisconsin               0- 9      -9    -4    --    -5.48
   214 H Iowa                    2- 8      -6    -1    --    -4.83
   222 H Iowa State              2- 9      -7    -2    --    -4.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Delaware               13- 0      13    -1    +++   14.14
   221 A Tarleton State         10- 0      10    -1    +++   11.16
   220 H Tulsa                  10- 5       5     0    ++     5.05
   213 A Western Kentucky        1- 2      -1    -3    +      2.28

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Wisconsin       (32-22, 93.8)     0- 9       -6.07      13.30       0.74         1.94            -5.17
   3 A Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     2- 8       -3.67      15.70       0.74         1.94            -2.83
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     3- 2       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         1.94            39.46
   3 A Ohio State      (24-28, 93.8)     0-11       -6.05      13.32       0.74         1.94            -5.15
   3 A Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)    13- 0       -8.45      10.92       0.74         1.94            45.21
   3 A Western Kentuc  (37-11, 93.6)     1- 2       -6.31      13.06       0.74         1.94            -5.40
   3 A Iowa            (27-26, 93.0)     6- 7       -6.94      12.43       0.74         1.94            -6.01
   3 H Iowa            (27-26, 93.0)     2- 8       -6.94      12.43      -0.74         1.94            -7.45
   3 A Mercer          ( 3-11, 86.0)     3- 5      -13.85       5.52       0.74         1.94           -12.71
   3 H Pittsburgh      (26-25, 90.7)     0- 5       -9.19      10.18      -0.74         1.94            -9.62
   3 H Tulsa           (20-31, 91.8)    10- 5       -8.06      11.31      -0.74         1.94            40.97
   3 A Tarleton State  (35-22, 91.5)    10- 0       -8.43      10.94       0.74         1.94            45.31
   3 H Iowa State      (33-21, 94.1)     2- 9       -5.85      13.52      -0.74         1.94            -6.39
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       110.23

winning pts = 170.9529 losing points = -60.7263

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------